Quantifying climate scenarios into asset class and macroeconomic impacts via our Economic Scenario Generator

Our  ClimateMAPS – climate scenario analysis solution, utilizes our independent Economic Scenario Generator and the Ortec Finance Scenario set (OFS) to translate our proprietary Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios and the NGFS Phase IV climate scenarios into all asset classes and macroeconomic variables.

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How does the OFS help assess climate-related market risks?

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The OFS incorporates Ortec Finance’s Economic Scenario Generator, expertise and market insights to reflect realistic scenario assumptions, known as Ortec Finance’s house view.

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The realistic scenario assumptions incorporate climate change’s impact by benchmarking stochastic scenarios against a broad range of climate scenarios from various sources and models.

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The impacts on macroeconomic variables and returns from asset classes presented relative to a reference baseline generated from the house view, currently being between 2°C to 3 °C degrees warming.

This overall approach forms part of our release of integrated economic and climate scenarios, which enables investors to integrate climate risk analysis results with traditional risk return analysis outcomes.

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Learn more about the differences between the Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios and the NGFS Phase IV climate scenarios here.


Further insights

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