Climate scenario analysis with NGFS Phase IV climate scenarios

As part of our ClimateMAPS – climate scenario analysis solution, financial institutions have the option to assess and quantify the potential financial and economic implications arising from climate change-related physical and transition risks under six climate scenarios released by the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS).

This serves as an additional option alongside our proprietary in-house Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios, in exclusive partnership with Cambridge Econometrics.

Net-Zero by 2050

Explores an orderly and ambitious transition with lower physical risks

Below 2°C

Explores a slow orderly transition and moderate physical risks

Delayed Transition

Explores a delayed start to the transition and moderate physical risks

Fragmented World

Explores divergent and delayed start to transition policies and higher physical risks

NDCs

Explores how NDCs enable the transition and higher physical risks

Current Policies

Explores how current policies progress transition and higher physical risks

*While the Phase IV release of NGFS climate scenarios includes seven scenarios, insufficient data for the ‘Low Demand scenario’ prevents our economic scenario generator from quantifying its financial impacts.

Applying NGFS Phase IV climate scenarios

In combination with our Economic Scenario Generator, access:

ClimateMAPS - 20+ countries/regions
Economic variables for 20+ countries/regions and 450+ financial variables across all asset classes

ClimateMAPS - Comprehensive total portfolio analysis
Comprehensive total portfolio analysis including dataset and detailed supplementary report

ClimateMAPS - interactive web based tool
Interactive web-based tool featuring dynamic charts, videos and explanations for comparison, with ongoing support and training

To help financial institutions:

ClimateMAPS - NGFS climate scenarios - understanding financial impacts
Gain an expanded understanding of the financial impacts under standardized hypothetical climate futures

ClimateMAPS - NGFS climate scenarios - peer benchmark portfolios climate risk resilience
Peer benchmark portfolio’s climate risk resilience against the most widely-utilized climate scenarios

ClimateMAPS - NGFS climate scenarios - climate related reporting disclosures
Undertake climate-related reporting and disclosures

Webinar – Utilizing NGFS climate scenarios for climate risk analysis

Watch our webinar to learn how NGFS climate scenarios:

have evolved from inception to the latest release
are available to institutional investors
holds potential benefits as well as limitations

Webinar Utilizing NGFS climate scenarios for climate risk analysis

Comparing the two climate scenario options in ClimateMAPS

Learn more about the differences between the Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios and the NGFS Phase IV climate scenarios here.

Further insights

Unlocking the true value of climate scenarios – Discover the differences between the various types of narrative-based climate scenarios.
The latest release of NGFS climate scenarios – Key highlights for institutional investors – Learn more about the updates and changes within Phase IV of the NGFS climate scenarios, and how it compares to its previous release. 
Generating useful financial insights with a credible climate scenario analysis – Learn how you can gain a quantified financial understanding of how climate change may impact investments with climate scenario analysis.

About ClimateMAPS

ClimateMAPS - Ortec Finance’s top down climate scenario analysis solution for financial institutions, in exclusive partnership with Cambridge Econometrics, realistically quantifies a financial institution’s portfolio climate risks as well as opportunities, across all asset classes and macroeconomic variables. Its comprehensive asset class, macroeconomic and sector insights help financial institutions understand how climate change can impact returns and can be integrated with traditional risk analysis and asset liability management frameworks.

Climate Scenarios & Sustainability