Quantifying climate scenarios into asset class and macroeconomic impacts via our Economic Scenario Generator

Our ClimateMAPS – climate scenario analysis solution, utilizes our independent Economic Scenario Generator to capture real-world financial dynamics, historical financial and economic interactions and short and long-term investment horizons to translate our Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios into quantified impacts on returns across all asset classes and macroeconomic variables.

Our overall approach delivers a real-world assessment on how climate change could impact financial markets by considering implications for future asset values, investor sentiment and market overreaction as well as the timing and velocity of systemic responses.

Economic Scenario Generator in one minute
 

Making climate-informed investment decisions

When combined with the Ortec Finance Scenario set (OFS), this helps financial institutions to:

ClimateMAPS with Ortec Finance Scenario set - quantify climate-changes-impact
Quantify climate change’s impact on returns beyond equities and limited macroeconomic variables to detailed asset classes, benchmarks and sector holdings

ClimateMAPS with Ortec Finance Scenario set - capture impacts
Capture the impacts arising from the insufficient pricing-in of climate risks

ClimateMAPS with Ortec Finance Scenario set - combine traditional risk and climate risk analysis results
Combine traditional risk and climate risk analysis results and evaluate both risks within ALM studies

How does the OFS help assess climate-related market risks?

market insights icon
The OFS incorporates Ortec Finance’s Economic Scenario Generator, expertise and market insights to reflect realistic scenario assumptions, known as Ortec Finance’s house view.

climate changes impact
The realistic scenario assumptions incorporate climate change’s impact by benchmarking stochastic scenarios against a broad range of climate scenarios from various sources and models.

reference baseline
The impacts on macroeconomic variables and returns from asset classes presented relative to a reference baseline generated from the house view, currently being between 2°C to 3°C degrees warming.

Further insights

About ClimateMAPS

ClimateMAPS - Ortec Finance’s top down climate scenario analysis solution for financial institutions, in exclusive partnership with Cambridge Econometrics, realistically quantifies a financial institution’s portfolio climate risks as well as opportunities, across all asset classes and macroeconomic variables. Its comprehensive asset class, macroeconomic and sector insights help financial institutions understand how climate change can impact returns and can be integrated with traditional risk analysis and asset liability management frameworks.
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